The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its holders of common stock. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.
As of January 8, 2025, the Company had84,613,638 shares of common stock outstanding. As of December 31, 2024, the Company had82,622,464shares of common stock outstanding. As of September 30, 2024, the Company had 78,082,645shares of common stock outstanding.
EstimatedDecember 31, 2024Book Value Per Share
The Company’s estimated book value per share as ofDecember 31, 2024was $8.09. The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders’ equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. AtDecember 31, 2024, the Company’s preliminary estimated total stockholders’ equity was approximately $668.5million with82,622,464 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.
Estimated Net IncomePer Shareand Realized and Unrealized Gains on RMBS and Derivative Instruments
The Company estimates it generated net incomeper share of $0.07 for the quarter endedDecember 31, 2024,which includes an estimated $0.02per shareof net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments.These amounts compare to total dividends declared during the quarter of $0.36 per share. Net incomeper common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income. The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net income. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.
Estimated Total Return on Equity
The Company’s estimated total return on equity for the quarter endedDecember 31, 2024was 0.6%. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company’s stockholders’ equity at the beginning of the quarter. The total return was $0.05 per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.36 and a decrease in book value per share of $0.31 from September30, 2024.
RMBS Portfolio Characteristics
Details of the RMBS portfolio as ofDecember 31, 2024are presented below.These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company’s financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, are subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm:
- RMBS Valuation Characteristics
- RMBS Assets by Agency
- Investment Company Act of 1940 (Whole Pool) Test Results
- Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty
- RMBS Risk Measures
About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS. The Company is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023.
| RMBS Valuation Characteristics | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Realized | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Realized | Oct-24 – | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dec-24 | Dec-24 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net | Weighted | CPR | CPR | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Weighted | Average | (1-Month) | (3-Month) | Modeled Interest | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Current | Fair | % of | Current | Average | Maturity | (Reported | (Reported | Rate Sensitivity (1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Type | Face | Value | Portfolio | Price | Coupon | GWAC | Age | (Months) | in Jan) | in Jan) | (-50 BPS) | (+50 BPS) | ||||||||||||||
| Fixed Rate RMBS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15yr 5.0 TBA | $ | 50,000 | $ | 49,742 | 0.94 | % | 99.48 | 5.00 | % | 5.85 | % | 6 | 170 | n/a | n/a | $ | 742 | $ | (817 | ) | ||||||
| 15yr Total | 50,000 | 49,742 | 0.94 | % | 99.48 | 5.00 | % | 5.85 | % | 6 | 170 | n/a | n/a | 742 | (817 | ) | ||||||||||
| 30yr 3.0 | 1,095,967 | 945,375 | 17.83 | % | 86.26 | 3.00 | % | 3.47 | % | 45 | 308 | 6.2 | % | 6.5 | % | 29,549 | (29,973 | ) | ||||||||
| 30yr 3.5 | 175,770 | 158,324 | 2.99 | % | 90.07 | 3.50 | % | 4.04 | % | 58 | 289 | 5.9 | % | 6.6 | % | 4,509 | (4,559 | ) | ||||||||
| 30yr 4.0 | 526,006 | 483,036 | 9.11 | % | 91.83 | 4.00 | % | 4.64 | % | 71 | 282 | 5.7 | % | 5.3 | % | 12,738 | (13,432 | ) | ||||||||
| 30yr 4.5 | 305,898 | 289,216 | 5.45 | % | 94.55 | 4.50 | % | 5.44 | % | 30 | 326 | 12.1 | % | 8.5 | % | 6,480 | (6,971 | ) | ||||||||
| 30yr 5.0 | 574,297 | 556,505 | 10.49 | % | 96.90 | 5.00 | % | 5.94 | % | 25 | 330 | 4.9 | % | 5.6 | % | 11,855 | (12,913 | ) | ||||||||
| 30yr 5.5 | 397,698 | 395,367 | 7.46 | % | 99.41 | 5.50 | % | 6.45 | % | 15 | 342 | 5.2 | % | 3.9 | % | 7,677 | (8,617 | ) | ||||||||
| 30yr 6.0 | 1,201,764 | 1,218,206 | 22.97 | % | 101.37 | 6.00 | % | 6.98 | % | 12 | 343 | 8.8 | % | 11.6 | % | 19,254 | (22,443 | ) | ||||||||
| 30yr 6.5 | 841,820 | 866,182 | 16.33 | % | 102.89 | 6.50 | % | 7.43 | % | 11 | 346 | 9.0 | % | 17.3 | % | 10,020 | (12,404 | ) | ||||||||
| 30yr 7.0 | 312,055 | 325,601 | 6.14 | % | 104.34 | 7.00 | % | 7.94 | % | 14 | 339 | 21.1 | % | 32.2 | % | 3,015 | (3,728 | ) | ||||||||
| 30yr Total | 5,431,275 | 5,237,812 | 98.77 | % | 96.44 | 5.03 | % | 5.84 | % | 28 | 326 | 8.1 | % | 10.6 | % | 105,097 | (115,040 | ) | ||||||||
| Total Pass-Through MBS | 5,481,275 | 5,287,554 | 99.71 | % | 96.47 | 5.03 | % | 5.84 | % | 28 | 325 | 8.1 | % | 10.6 | % | 105,839 | (115,857 | ) | ||||||||
| Structured MBS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IO 20yr 4.0 | 6,998 | 643 | 0.01 | % | 9.19 | 4.00 | % | 4.57 | % | 156 | 78 | 9.0 | % | 9.3 | % | 4 | (3 | ) | ||||||||
| IO 30yr 3.0 | 2,599 | 366 | 0.01 | % | 14.07 | 3.00 | % | 3.64 | % | 119 | 230 | 1.2 | % | 9.8 | % | 2 | (2 | ) | ||||||||
| IO 30yr 4.0 | 71,388 | 13,342 | 0.25 | % | 18.69 | 4.00 | % | 4.60 | % | 124 | 227 | 6.8 | % | 6.6 | % | (130 | ) | 86 | ||||||||
| IO 30yr 4.5 | 3,125 | 604 | 0.01 | % | 19.32 | 4.50 | % | 4.99 | % | 174 | 173 | 9.3 | % | 7.5 | % | – | (1 | ) | ||||||||
| IO 30yr 5.0 | 1,675 | 353 | 0.01 | % | 21.09 | 5.00 | % | 5.37 | % | 174 | 173 | 2.8 | % | 9.3 | % | (2 | ) | 1 | ||||||||
| IO Total | 85,785 | 15,308 | 0.29 | % | 17.84 | 4.01 | % | 4.60 | % | 129 | 212 | 6.8 | % | 7.0 | % | (126 | ) | 81 | ||||||||
| IIO 30yr 4.0 | 21,971 | 190 | 0.00 | % | 0.86 | 0.00 | % | 4.40 | % | 87 | 261 | 0.4 | % | 7.3 | % | 97 | (66 | ) | ||||||||
| Total Structured RMBS | 107,756 | 15,498 | 0.29 | % | 14.38 | 3.19 | % | 4.56 | % | 121 | 222 | 5.5 | % | 7.0 | % | (29 | ) | 15 | ||||||||
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 5,589,031 | $ | 5,303,052 | 100.00 | % | 4.99 | % | 5.81 | % | 30 | 323 | 8.1 | % | 10.5 | % | $ | 105,810 | $ | (115,842 | ) | |||||
| Hedge | Modeled Interest | ||||||||||||
| Notional | Period | Rate Sensitivity (1) | |||||||||||
| Hedge | Balance | End | (-50 BPS) | (+50 BPS) | |||||||||
| 5-Year Treasury Future(2) | $ | (312,500 | ) | Mar-25 | $ | (6,370 | ) | $ | 6,174 | ||||
| 10-Year Treasury Future(3) | $ | (93,500 | ) | Mar-25 | $ | (2,966 | ) | $ | 2,878 | ||||
| 10-Year Ultra Treasury Future(4) | $ | (32,500 | ) | Mar-25 | $ | (1,429 | ) | $ | 1,362 | ||||
| Swaps | (3,516,800 | ) | Jun-30 | (83,890 | ) | 81,039 | |||||||
| TBA | (200,000 | ) | Jan-25 | (5,786 | ) | 5,977 | |||||||
| Hedge Total | $ | (4,155,300 | ) | $ | (100,441 | ) | $ | 97,430 | |||||
| Rate Shock Grand Total | $ | 5,369 | $ | (18,412 | ) | ||||||||
| (1 | ) | Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant SOFRoption-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially. |
| (2 | ) | Five-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of$106.30atDecember 31, 2024. The market value of the short position was$332.2 million. |
| (3 | ) | Ten-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of$108.75atDecember 31, 2024. The market value of the short position was$101.7 million. |
| (4 | ) | Ten-year Ultra futures contracts were valued at prices of$111.31atDecember 31, 2024. The market value of the short position was $93.5 million. |
| RMBS Assets by Agency | ||||||||
| ($ in thousands) | ||||||||
| Percentage | ||||||||
| Fair | of | |||||||
| Asset Category | Value | Portfolio | ||||||
| As of December 31, 2024 | ||||||||
| Fannie Mae | $ | 3,742,774 | 70.6 | % | ||||
| Freddie Mac | 1,560,278 | 29.4 | % | |||||
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 5,303,052 | 100.0 | % | ||||
| Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test | ||||||||
| ($ in thousands) | ||||||||
| Percentage | ||||||||
| Fair | of | |||||||
| Asset Category | Value | Portfolio | ||||||
| As of December 31, 2024 | ||||||||
| Non-Whole Pool Assets | $ | 203,346 | 3.8 | % | ||||
| Whole Pool Assets | 5,099,706 | 96.2 | % | |||||
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 5,303,052 | 100.0 | % | ||||
| Borrowings By Counterparty | |||||||||
| ($ in thousands) | |||||||||
| Weighted | Weighted | ||||||||
| % of | Average | Average | |||||||
| Total | Total | Repo | Maturity | Longest | |||||
| As of December 31, 2024 | Borrowings | Debt | Rate | in Days | Maturity | ||||
| Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith | $ | 360,113 | 7.2 | % | 4.67 | % | 21 | 1/21/2025 | |
| ABN AMRO Bank N.V. | 335,584 | 6.7 | % | 4.60 | % | 17 | 1/17/2025 | ||
| RBC Capital Markets, LLC | 267,565 | 5.3 | % | 4.68 | % | 21 | 1/21/2025 | ||
| Cantor Fitzgerald & Co | 254,445 | 5.1 | % | 4.74 | % | 8 | 1/8/2025 | ||
| DV Securities, LLC Repo | 251,638 | 5.0 | % | 4.63 | % | 28 | 1/28/2025 | ||
| MUFG Securities Canada, Ltd. | 248,084 | 4.9 | % | 4.62 | % | 13 | 1/13/2025 | ||
| Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc. | 244,546 | 4.9 | % | 4.66 | % | 13 | 1/21/2025 | ||
| J.P. Morgan Securities LLC | 241,633 | 4.8 | % | 4.77 | % | 8 | 1/27/2025 | ||
| Daiwa Securities America Inc. | 232,972 | 4.6 | % | 4.62 | % | 23 | 1/23/2025 | ||
| Goldman, Sachs & Co | 232,011 | 4.6 | % | 4.63 | % | 27 | 1/27/2025 | ||
| Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. | 227,854 | 4.5 | % | 4.76 | % | 17 | 1/17/2025 | ||
| Citigroup Global Markets Inc | 226,627 | 4.5 | % | 4.62 | % | 27 | 1/27/2025 | ||
| Marex Capital Markets Inc. | 211,474 | 4.2 | % | 4.62 | % | 21 | 1/21/2025 | ||
| ASL Capital Markets Inc. | 210,826 | 4.2 | % | 4.63 | % | 24 | 2/12/2025 | ||
| ING Financial Markets LLC | 208,713 | 4.2 | % | 4.63 | % | 30 | 1/30/2025 | ||
| The Bank of Nova Scotia | 192,117 | 3.8 | % | 4.66 | % | 21 | 1/21/2025 | ||
| Bank of Montreal | 191,010 | 3.8 | % | 4.60 | % | 21 | 1/21/2025 | ||
| South Street Securities, LLC | 184,014 | 3.7 | % | 4.71 | % | 22 | 1/24/2025 | ||
| Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc. | 176,902 | 3.5 | % | 4.76 | % | 139 | 5/19/2025 | ||
| Clear Street LLC | 163,116 | 3.2 | % | 4.54 | % | 79 | 3/20/2025 | ||
| StoneX Financial Inc. | 151,169 | 3.0 | % | 4.63 | % | 17 | 1/17/2025 | ||
| Banco Santander SA | 90,417 | 1.8 | % | 4.75 | % | 17 | 1/17/2025 | ||
| Nomura Securities International, Inc. | 70,878 | 1.4 | % | 4.64 | % | 17 | 1/17/2025 | ||
| Lucid Prime Fund, LLC | 29,149 | 0.6 | % | 4.70 | % | 16 | 1/16/2025 | ||
| Wells Fargo Securities, LLC | 22,686 | 0.5 | % | 4.88 | % | 23 | 1/23/2025 | ||
| Total Borrowings | $ | 5,025,543 | 100.0 | % | 4.66 | % | 26 | 5/19/2025 | |
Contact:
Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Robert E. Cauley
3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963
Telephone: (772) 231-1400
