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Home > Real Estate News > Orchid Island Capital Announces Estimated Third Quarter 2025 Results, October 2025 Monthly Dividend and September 30, 2025 RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Orchid Island Capital Announces Estimated Third Quarter 2025 Results, October 2025 Monthly Dividend and September 30, 2025 RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Posted on: October 15, 2025 By: Real Estate News

  • October 2025 Monthly Dividend of $0.12 Per Share of Common Stock
  • Estimated Book Value Per Share as of September 30, 2025 of $7.33
  • Estimated GAAP net income of $0.53 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, including an estimated $0.37 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments
  • Estimated 6.6% total return on equity for the quarter ended September 30, 2025
  • Estimated book value, net income and total return on equity amounts are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm
  • RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of September 30, 2025
  • Next Dividend Announcement Expected November 12, 2025

VERO BEACH, Fla., Oct. 15, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors of the Company declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of October 2025. The dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid November 26, 2025 to holders of record of the Company’s common stock on October 31, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of October 31, 2025. The Company plans on announcing its next common stock dividend on November 12, 2025.

The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its holders of common stock. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.

As of October 15, 2025, the Company has 151,711,940 shares of common stock outstanding. As of September 30, 2025, the Company had 148,239,401 shares of common stock outstanding. As of June 30, 2025, the Company had 126,566,926 shares of common stock outstanding.

Estimated September 30, 2025 Book Value Per Share

The Company’s estimated book value per share as of September 30, 2025 was $7.33.  The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders’ equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. At September 30, 2025, the Company’s preliminary estimated total stockholders’ equity was approximately $1,086.1 million with 148,239,401 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. 

Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains on RMBS and Derivative Instruments

The Company estimates it generated a net income per share of $0.53 for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, which includes an estimated $0.37 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments. These amounts compare to total dividends declared during the quarter of $0.36 per share. Net income per common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income.  The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net income. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. 

Estimated Total Return on Equity

The Company’s estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended September 30, 2025 was 6.6%. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company’s stockholders’ equity at the beginning of the quarter.  The total return was $0.48 per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.36 and an increase in book value per share of $0.12 from June 30, 2025.

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Details of the RMBS portfolio as of September 30, 2025 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company’s financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, are subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm:

  • RMBS Valuation Characteristics
  • RMBS Assets by Agency
  • Investment Company Act of 1940 (Whole Pool) Test Results
  • Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty
  • RMBS Risk Measures

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS. The Company is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024.

 
RMBS Valuation Characteristics
($ in thousands)
                                                                          Realized                
                                                                  Realized   Jul-25 –                
                                                                  Sep-25   Sep-25                
                                  Net                   Weighted   CPR   CPR                
                                  Weighted                   Average   (1-Month)   (3-Month)   Modeled Interest
  Current   Fair   % of   Current   Average                   Maturity   (Reported   (Reported   Rate Sensitivity (1)
Type Face   Value   Portfolio   Price   Coupon   GWAC   Age   (Months)   in Oct)   in Oct)   (-50 BPS)   (+50 BPS)
Fixed Rate RMBS                                                                                              
15yr 5.0 TBA $ 250,000     $ 252,715       2.94 %     101.09       5.00 %     5.84 %     5       173       n/a       n/a     $ 2,828     $ (3,460 )
15yr Total   250,000       252,715       2.94 %     101.09       5.00 %     5.84 %     5       173       n/a       n/a       2,828       (3,460 )
30yr 3.0 $ 834,430     $ 748,807       8.70 %     89.74       3.00 %     3.48 %     55       297       7.2 %     7.3 %   $ 21,717     $ (21,982 )
30yr 3.5   162,600       151,190       1.76 %     92.98       3.50 %     4.04 %     67       279       4.9 %     8.4 %     4,077       (4,125 )
30yr 4.0   156,219       148,920       1.73 %     95.33       4.00 %     4.70 %     53       302       9.5 %     8.4 %     3,745       (3,920 )
30yr 4.5   278,735       272,292       3.16 %     97.69       4.50 %     5.44 %     39       317       8.6 %     11.1 %     5,499       (6,127 )
30yr 5.0   447,224       446,473       5.19 %     99.83       5.00 %     5.93 %     32       323       6.2 %     8.2 %     8,557       (9,859 )
30yr 5.5   1,835,701       1,870,044       21.72 %     101.87       5.50 %     6.45 %     11       345       6.3 %     6.1 %     28,021       (35,803 )
30yr 6.0   2,804,917       2,892,624       33.60 %     103.13       6.00 %     6.94 %     12       344       9.7 %     10.0 %     28,122       (40,190 )
30yr 6.5   1,488,120       1,553,110       18.04 %     104.37       6.50 %     7.39 %     15       340       13.9 %     13.5 %     9,806       (15,382 )
30yr 7.0   245,769       258,440       3.00 %     105.16       7.00 %     7.94 %     23       328       28.2 %     24.3 %     1,782       (2,261 )
30yr Total   8,253,715       8,341,900       96.90 %     101.07       5.51 %     6.39 %     21       334       9.7 %     10.1 %     111,326       (139,649 )
Total Pass-Through RMBS   8,503,715       8,594,615       99.84 %     101.07       5.50 %     6.37 %     20       329       9.7 %     10.1 %     114,154       (143,109 )
Structured RMBS                                                                                              
IO 20yr 4.0   5,743       473       0.01 %     8.23       4.00 %     4.57 %     164       70       11.6 %     12.5 %     2       (2 )
IO 30yr 3.0   2,391       318       0.00 %     13.28       3.00 %     3.64 %     128       222       1.5 %     10.6 %     (1 )     (1 )
IO 30yr 4.0   65,885       12,316       0.14 %     18.70       4.00 %     4.60 %     133       218       9.9 %     7.7 %     (286 )     181  
IO 30yr 4.5   2,862       553       0.01 %     19.31       4.50 %     4.99 %     183       164       9.1 %     7.2 %     (7 )     3  
IO 30yr 5.0   1,503       314       0.00 %     20.87       5.00 %     5.37 %     183       164       19.0 %     12.2 %     (6 )     3  
IO Total   78,384       13,974       0.16 %     17.83       4.01 %     4.59 %     138       204       10.0 %     8.2 %     (298 )     184  
IIO 30yr 4.0   18,392       206       0.00 %     1.12       0.00 %     4.40 %     96       252       0.6 %     7.7 %     115       (81 )
Total Structured RMBS   96,776       14,180       0.16 %     14.65       3.25 %     4.56 %     130       213       8.2 %     8.1 %     (183 )     103  
                                                                                               
Total Mortgage Assets $ 8,600,491     $ 8,608,795       100.00 %             5.47 %     6.35 %     22       328       9.7 %     10.1 %   $ 113,971     $ (143,006 )
                                                                                               

        Hedge   Modeled Interest
  Notional   Period   Rate Sensitivity (1)
Hedge Balance   End   (-50 BPS)   (+50 BPS)
3-Month SOFR Futures $ (390,000 )   Sep-26   $ (3,413 )   $ 3,413  
5-Year Treasury Future(2)   (562,500 )   Dec-25     (11,785 )     11,521  
10-Year Treasury Future(3)   (228,500 )   Dec-25     (7,529 )     7,351  
10-Year Ultra Treasury Future(4)   (197,500 )   Dec-25     (8,938 )     8,507  
5-Year ERIS SOFR Swap Futures   (10,000 )   Dec-25     (234 )     226  
Swaps   (3,943,300 )   Feb-31     (97,663 )     94,426  
TBA Short   (282,000 )   Oct-25     (3,295 )     4,628  
Hedge Total $ (5,613,800 )       $ (132,857 )   $ 130,072  
Rate Shock Grand Total             $ (18,886 )   $ (12,934 )

(1) Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant SOFR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.
(2) Five-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $109.20 at September 30, 2025. The market value of the short position was  $614.3 million.
(3) Ten-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $112.50 at September 30, 2025. The market value of the short position was $257.1 million.
(4) Ten-year Ultra futures contracts were valued at prices of $115.08 at September 30, 2025. The market value of the short position was $227.3 million.
   

RMBS Assets by Agency
($ in thousands)
          Percentage
  Fair
  of
Asset Category Value
  Portfolio
As of September 30, 2025              
Fannie Mae $ 4,741,968       56.7 %
Freddie Mac   3,614,112       43.3 %
Total Mortgage Assets $ 8,356,080       100.0 %
               

Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test  
($ in thousands)
          Percentage
  Fair   of
Asset Category Value   Portfolio
As of September 30, 2025              
Non-Whole Pool Assets $ 654,750       7.8 %
Whole Pool Assets   7,701,330       92.2 %
Total Mortgage Assets $ 8,356,080       100.0 %
               

Borrowings By Counterparty
($ in thousands)
                  Weighted   Weighted    
          % of   Average   Average    
  Total   Total   Repo   Maturity   Longest
As of September 30, 2025 Borrowings   Debt   Rate   in Days   Maturity
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC $ 511,662       6.4 %     4.34 %     20     10/23/2025
Citigroup Global Markets Inc   437,979       5.5 %     4.42 %     34     12/1/2025
DV Securities, LLC Repo   389,984       4.9 %     4.37 %     36     11/25/2025
ABN AMRO Bank N.V.   377,931       4.7 %     4.25 %     42     12/15/2025
Wells Fargo Securities, LLC   371,202       4.6 %     4.45 %     14     10/28/2025
The Bank of Nova Scotia   369,533       4.6 %     4.39 %     20     10/23/2025
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith   362,023       4.5 %     4.34 %     70     2/13/2026
ASL Capital Markets Inc.   359,654       4.5 %     4.16 %     126     9/21/2026
Bank of Montreal   358,926       4.5 %     4.38 %     30     11/28/2025
South Street Securities, LLC   344,604       4.3 %     4.31 %     81     8/27/2026
Goldman, Sachs & Co   337,376       4.2 %     4.34 %     27     10/29/2025
StoneX Financial Inc.   332,143       4.1 %     4.30 %     20     10/20/2025
Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.   331,786       4.1 %     4.29 %     35     11/13/2025
Daiwa Securities America Inc.   329,915       4.1 %     4.17 %     135     3/23/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co   319,230       4.0 %     4.34 %     25     10/27/2025
Clear Street LLC   307,707       3.8 %     4.35 %     20     10/31/2025
Marex Capital Markets Inc.   302,480       3.8 %     4.32 %     31     12/11/2025
RBC Capital Markets, LLC   298,220       3.7 %     4.27 %     56     11/25/2025
ING Financial Markets LLC   291,011       3.6 %     4.32 %     17     10/17/2025
Banco Santander SA   265,981       3.3 %     4.38 %     16     10/16/2025
MUFG Securities Canada, Ltd.   255,958       3.2 %     4.38 %     8     10/8/2025
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc.   246,210       3.1 %     4.44 %     16     10/20/2025
Mizuho Securities USA LLC   207,561       2.6 %     4.34 %     23     10/27/2025
Nomura Securities International, Inc.   158,100       2.0 %     4.41 %     14     10/14/2025
Natixis, New York Branch   104,895       1.3 %     4.34 %     29     10/29/2025
Lucid Prime Fund, LLC   34,907       0.4 %     4.34 %     16     10/16/2025
Total Borrowings $ 8,006,978       100.0 %     4.33 %     39     9/21/2026
                                   
CONTACT: Contact:
 
Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Robert E. Cauley
3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963
Telephone: (772) 231-1400

Orchid-Island-Capital-Inc-1-1 Orchid Island Capital Announces Estimated Third Quarter 2025 Results, October 2025 Monthly Dividend and September 30, 2025 RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

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